General Counsel Matthew Cooper sold $768K of COF shares at $219.33, reducing his direct stake by 3.9% while the stock traded just 1.3% below its 90-day high. This appears to be routine diversification given his history of 8 sales and no cluster buying support from other insiders.

Where it could go — Our 1-4 conviction officer sells: 56% beat SPY at 30d with +2.4% average outperformance; watch $222.92 as resistance, $191.38 as support.

President Mark Mouadeb sold $260K worth of shares, reducing his directly held stake by 2.3% at a price just 1.3% below the 90-day high. This is his ninth sale on record with no buys, fitting a pattern of routine diversification that lacks a strong directional signal.

Where it could go — Our 1-4 conviction officer sells: 56% beat SPY at 30d; watch $222.92 as the bear trigger, $191.38 as the bull break.

President Mouadeb sold $148K of directly held shares, reducing his stake by 1.3% at a price just 1.8% below the 90-day high. This trade follows his pattern of routine selling with no supporting buyer cluster and aligns with the stock's STRONG BUY analyst consensus.

Where it could go — Our 1-4 conviction officer sells: 56% beat SPY at 30d with avg +2.4% vs SPY; watch $218.96 as resistance, $191.38 as support.

Raghu Ravi, President of Software, International & Small Business at Capital One, sold 9,726 shares at $209.78 for $2.0M — cutting 27% of directly held shares with the stock sitting just 1.7% below its 90-day high of $213.32. This is his third large sale since late 2024, following a $4.1M sale in November 2024 and a $3.4M sale in January 2026, suggesting a deliberate, ongoing reduction of personal exposure rather than a one-off event. Bull case: COF holds above $191 (30d low) with strong analyst backing and no near-term earnings overhang; bear case: a break below $174 (90d low) would confirm the stock's recent run has stalled.

Where it could go — Our conviction 5-6 officer sell signals: 50% beat SPY at 30d (n=1622, avg +2.6% vs SPY); bull holds $191, bear breaks $174.

SVP Golden Timothy sold $736K of directly held shares, reducing his stake by 31.9% at $211.00, just 1.1% below the 90-day high. This trade follows the insider's established pattern of regular selling with no buying history, making it routine rather than significant.

Where it could go — Our 1-4 conviction officer sells: 58% beat SPY at 30d with avg +2.9% vs SPY.

General Counsel Matthew Cooper sold $728K worth of COF shares at $208, reducing his direct stake by 3.7% near the stock's 90-day high. This appears to be routine diversification rather than opportunistic selling, given his history of similar-sized sales and the absence of other insider buyers.

Where it could go — Our 1-4 conviction officer sells: 59% beat SPY at 30d; watch $210 as resistance, $200 as support.

General Counsel Matthew Cooper sold $642K in COF stock, reducing his stake by 3.6% at a price just 5.2% above the 90-day low. This second sale in three weeks, with no other insiders buying, suggests routine portfolio management rather than a new, urgent signal of concern.

Where it could go — Analyst mean target not provided; bear case if stock breaks the recent low of $174.23.

General Counsel Matthew Cooper sold $644K worth of COF shares at $183.93, reducing his stake by just 3.5% while the stock traded 17.4% below its 90-day high. This first-time sale of a small portion near price lows lacks cluster support and appears routine rather than strategically concerning.

Where it could go — Analyst mean target unavailable; bear case if stock breaks $174.98 support.

HR Officer Kaitlin Haggerty sold $240K of COF stock, reducing her stake by 2.6% at a price 17.4% below the 90-day high. This is a first-time sale near the stock's recent lows with no other insider buyers, which is more likely routine or personal than a strong bearish read on the business.

Where it could go — Analyst mean target not provided; bear case if stock breaks the recent low of $174.98.