Live · updates daily

Track record

How our AI-graded buy signals have actually performed against the S&P 500 — measured on every signal, the winners and the losers. Tracking since May 27, 2025.

% of flagged buys that beat the S&P 500 · next 30 days
Average stock · 48%
Scored 8+ · strongest calls77%
Scored 6+61%
Every stock we track48%
Scored 8+ strongest calls
77%

beat the S&P 500 over the next 30 days.

87 graded buys · 25 companies
Scored 6 or higher
61%

beat the S&P 500 over the next 30 days.

238 graded buys · 96 companies

The higher our score, the better the odds

Win-rate climbs with our conviction grade — exactly what a useful score should do.

Scored 5+
58%
Scored 6+
61%
Scored 7+
60%
Scored 8+
77%

How we measure it

  • Every time our AI grades an insider buy, we log it and check the stock 30 days later.
  • “Beat the S&P 500” means the stock outperformed the index over those 30 days.
  • We report the hit-rate — the share that beat the market. It's outlier-proof: one runaway winner can't inflate it.
  • These numbers come straight from our database — 2,775 resolved outcomes across 538 companies — and recompute daily as new outcomes mature.
  • Honest caveats: this covers a single market period, and the 8+ tier is still a modest sample (25 companies). Past performance doesn't predict future returns — this is research, not investment advice.

More as the data matures

90-day outcomesThe longer horizon where insider edges really show — filling in as signals age past 90 days.
By sector & roleWhich kinds of insiders and which industries our score reads best.
Deeper historyAs the sample grows, the 8+ number gets sturdier and the story gets richer.