Live · updates daily
Track record
How our AI-graded buy signals have actually performed against the S&P 500 — measured on every signal, the winners and the losers. Covers signals dating back to Mar 7, 2025 (including graded historical filings); outcomes are scored nightly.
30-day track record
% of flagged buys that beat the S&P 500 · next 30 days
Average stock · 55%
Scored 8+ · strongest calls72%
Scored 6+65%
Every stock we track55%
Scored 8+ strongest calls
72%
beat the S&P 500 over the next 30 days.
218 graded buys · 95 companies
Scored 6 or higher
65%
beat the S&P 500 over the next 30 days.
747 graded buys · 322 companies
The higher our score, the better the odds
Win-rate climbs with our conviction grade — exactly what a useful score should do.
Scored 5+
64%
Scored 6+
65%
Scored 7+
65%
Scored 8+
72%
90-day track record
Live, but still maturing — only 34 graded buys have reached 90 days so far. Any tier below 50 outcomes is shown for transparency and may be inaccurate.
Scored 5+ · 90d
22%
⚠ only 27 outcomes · may be inaccurate
Scored 6+ · 90d
17%
⚠ only 24 outcomes · may be inaccurate
Scored 7+ · 90d
0%
⚠ only 6 outcomes · may be inaccurate
Scored 8+ · 90d
—
no 90-day data yet
How we measure it
- Every time our AI grades an insider buy, we log it and check the stock 30 days later.
- “Beat the S&P 500” means the stock outperformed the index over those 30 days.
- We report the hit-rate — the share that beat the market. It's outlier-proof: one runaway winner can't inflate it.
- These numbers come straight from our database — 10,053 resolved outcomes across 1705 companies — and recompute daily as new outcomes mature.
- Honest caveats: this covers a single market period, and the 8+ tier is still a modest sample (95 companies). Past performance doesn't predict future returns — this is research, not investment advice.
More as the data matures
By sector & roleWhich kinds of insiders and which industries our score reads best.
Deeper historyAs the sample grows, the 8+ number gets sturdier and the story gets richer.